Updated recidivism rates includes combinations with static99r. Amy phenix and colleagues introduce a revised evaluators workbook for static99r and static2002r. Currently, risk assessments in corrections and forensic mental health are typically summarized in 1 of 3 words. First, it was expected that one or more static risk measures static 99r, static 2002r, and vasor would predict sexual recidivism with moderate accuracy in the sample.
The stable2007 and the acute2007 instruments are specialized tools designed to assess and track changes in risk status over time by assessing changeable dynamic risk factors. Static99r is a risk assessment tool provided for at penal code 290. Each tool estimates the risk of sexual recidivism using commonly available criminal history information. Recent surveys suggest that the most widelyresearched and commonlyused risk assessment tool for sex offenders is the static 99r formerly static 99. The static99r is based on static unchanging risk factors which predict the potential for sexual reoffending, such. Assessing the risk and needs of supervised sexual offenders. California has adopted four risk assessment instruments for use in assessing sex offender risk of reoffending. Static99r and static2002r outperformed the rrasor in the prediction. Absolute recidivism rates predicted by static99r and static. The first one, the static99r, is used to assess male sex offenders presentencing and prior to release from prison. The static99 is not intended to be a comprehensive risk assessment instrument, and as such, some factors related to risk are not included because they failed to predict recidivism in this particular model.
Approaches to sex offender risk assessment unstructured clinical judgment research guided clinical opinion the list pure actuarialstatic risk factors adjusted actuarial domains associated with sexual reoffense youth general criminal behavior sexual criminal behavior. May 21, 2012 static 99r and static 2002r are both actuarial risk assessment scales designed to pre dict sexual recidivism among adult male sex offenders. Due to small sample size, risk ratios are not presented for static2002r scores greater than 9. Methodology sampling began with offenders assessed between july 1, 2005 and december 3, 2008. Does field reliability for static99 scores decrease as. Static99r risk estimates wildly unstable, developers admit. The workshop will provide background information on the static2002r and will teach participants how to score, report, and interpret static2002r in applied evaluations. May 08, 2017 for more information about static99r, static2002r, and risk matrix 2000, see appendix b, static risk assessment t ools descriptions. An evaluation of the fivelevel system for risk communication. Approaches to sex offender risk current research on. Pdf this document is a technical and interpretative manual for evaluators.
Each criminal contact was categorized by the most serious charge. The current study examines the reliability and validity of static99 and static99r sexual offender risk assessment tools as implemented in the state of california. Evidencebased risk categories 3 table 2 evidencebased risk categories for static2002r static2002r score score category percentiles number name same cumulative mid point average risk ratio predicted 5 year recidivism rate lower ci upper ci 2 i very low risk 2. The washington state adult static risk assessment is an actuarial assessment that combines age, gender, adult misdemeanors, and adult and juvenile felony history of convictions to predict reoffending. All sexual offenders on community supervision must participate in treatment. A model of static and dynamic sex offender risk assessment. This training will focus on the development of the static99r, an overview of the tool, how to score the measure accurately and. In the violence risk assessment field, most evaluators use some form of.
Analyses were limited to testing for firsttime recidivism for each of the four types of recidivism studied. Evidencebased risk categories 3 table 2 evidencebased risk categories for static 2002r static 2002r score score category percentiles number name same cumulative mid point average risk ratio predicted 5 year recidivism rate lower ci upper ci 2 i very low risk 2. Parolee sex offenders are required by law to wear a gps monitoring device regardless of risk level, but sex offenders on probation must wear a gps monitoring device if they score high risk on static99r. A metaanalysis was conducted on the three most common risk assessment tools for sexual offenders. Absolute recidivism rates predicted by static 99r and static 2002r sex offender risk assessment tools vary across samples. On the static 99r which predicts sexual recidivism this offender scored in the low risk range. Pdf absolute recidivism rates predicted by static99r. In other words, actuarial instruments can be seen as attempts to identify the base rate of reoffending for a specifiable subgroup of sex offenders declue, 2002, p. Revised static99 coding form unc school of government. Focusing her research on developing and validating risk assessment scales, she is part of the development team for several scales, including the vragr, static99r, static2002r, stable2007, acute2007, barr2002, and the. Static99r is the most widely used sex offender risk assessment instrument in the world. Please note that there is a new 2016 version of the coding manual, which should replace. Predictive validity of the static99 and static2002 for sex. Participating probation officers n 7 were requested to submit demographic, offense history, and risk assessment information static99.
This manual comprises the third published version of the static99, and now. The rrasor rapid risk assessment of sex offender recidivism. Th the strong static risk and offender needs guide. This tool, the strong, is now being implemented in a number. The rrasor, static99r and static2002r all add incrementally to.
Forensic psychologists often use the static99r, a onepage form, to assign sex offenders into different risk groups. A multistate recidivism study using static99r and static. Static risk and offender needs guide, in collaboration with the washington department of corrections, developed and implemented a new, stateoftheart, evidencebased risk and needs assessmentsupervision planning system for adult offenders. It is the most widely used sex offender risk assessment instrument in the world this site is dedicated to the. New risk categories for static99r and static2002r hanson. Policies that differentially apply to sexual offenders at different risk levels require defensible procedures for classifying offenders into risk categories. Association for the treatment of sexual abusers 4900 s. Forensic psychologists often use the static 99r, a onepage form, to assign sex offenders into different risk groups. The rrasor, static 99r and static 2002r all add incrementally to the prediction of recidivism among sex offenders. Griffith drive, suite 274, beaverton, oregon 97005, usa. Apr 19, 2015 amy phenix and colleagues introduce a revised evaluators workbook for static99r and static2002r. While the fivelevel system was designed with general offending in mind, it has now been adapted and applied to risk for sexual offending, as measured by the static 99r and static 2002r hanson et al.
On the static99r which predicts sexual recidivism this offender scored in the low risk range. A prospective study using stable2007, static 99r and static 2002r. Oct 11, 2016 the static 99r has been the most widelyused and wellresearched measure in sex offender risk assessment. Sex offender risk assessment forensic version of the structured risk assessment srafv. They were designed to be widely applicable risk scales for the prediction of sexual recidivism that could be scored using commonly available file information from forensic settings such as prisons and forensic hospitals.
This chapter provides a highlevel overview of the static99, static99r, static2002, and static2002r. Static99r is the most widely used sex offender risk assessment instrument. Second, a dynamic risk measure sotnps or a subset of risk. The rrasor, static99r and static2002r all add incrementally. Static99 and static2002 instruments forensic psychology. California is a valuable case study because it is a large jurisdiction. Sex offender risk assesment training and consultation. Each of these instruments is an empirically derived, actuarial, risk assessment tool for use with sexual offenders. Sexual recidivism risk assessments are increasingly required in behavioral health, correctional, and court settings. Due to small sample size, risk ratios are not presented for static 2002r scores greater than 9. The static99r is a wellknown instrument used to estimate risk for reoffense among individuals who.
In assessment reports, we recommend evaluators report which version of the coding manual was used. In this document, readers will find updated psychometric information on stable2007 i. The static99r is an actuarial risk assessment tool which has shown moderate accuracy in ranking offenders according to their relative risk for sexual recidivism. The static 99r is an actuarial risk assessment tool which has shown moderate accuracy in ranking offenders according to their relative risk for sexual recidivism. The static 99 and the static 2002 are actuarial instruments that predict sex offender recidivism. Parolee sex offenders are required by law to wear a gps monitoring device regardless of risk level, but sex offenders on probation must wear a gps monitoring device if they score high risk on static 99r.
The static 99r is a wellknown instrument used to estimate risk for reoffense among individuals who have committed a sexual offense. Static99, static2002, recidivism, risk assessment, sexual offenders risk assessment has become embedded in our criminal justice system with important consequences for public safety and the offender. Neither of these instruments, however, has the research backing of the more established instruments of static risk, such as the static99r and static2002r. Offenders with this same score from the routine samples have been found to sexually recidivate at 1. For more information about static 99r, static 2002r, and risk matrix 2000, see appendix b, static risk assessment t ools descriptions.
Static99r and static2002r evaluator workbook, 2016. Static99r and static2002r are both actuarial risk assessment scales designed to pre dict sexual recidivism among adult male sex offenders. Risk ratios were calculated from hazard ratios based on cox regression coefficients derived from entering the continuous i. It is usually a one or two page report designed specifically for adult male sex offenders. On the static99r which predicts sexual recidivism this. Static99static99r national institute of corrections. Stable2007 assessment static99, stable, acute, and more. This training will focus on the development of the static 99r, an overview of the tool, how to score the measure accurately and reliably, how to. They were designed to be widely applicable risk scales for the prediction of sexual recidivism that could be scored using commonly available file information from forensic settings such as. Pdf absolute recidivism rates predicted by static99r and. Actuarial instruments for sex offender reoffense categorize sexual offenders. Recidivism rates for static2002rstable2007 standardized risk levels. Jun 09, 2015 risk assessment of individuals convicted of sexual offenses helps estimate the future risk of the offender to the community and provides a baseline for potential treatment needs.
Predictive validity of the static99 and static99r in. Overall, the static99 and static2002 are both reliable and valid measures of recidivism risk for sexual offenders. The static structure of these tests effectively precludes their ability to measure changes in risk. Absolute recidivism rates predicted by static99r and static2002r sex offender risk assessment tools vary across samples. A prospective study using stable2007, static99r and static2002r. Recent surveys suggest that the most widelyresearched and commonlyused risk assessment tool for sex offenders is the static99r formerly static99. Risk assessment is a key activity in criminal justice systems, with profound consequences for public safety and the offender. Once a criminal record is obtained, it will always be a part of an.
Soraf is a webbased assessment management system designed for largescale deployment of sex offender risk assessment instruments, namely static 99, stable2007, and acute2007, across multiple jurisdictions, with central administration, multilevel control and reporting. Predictive validity of the static99 and static2002 for. From the 2015 version, a new section has been added on the updated nominal risk categories, and tweaks have been made to phrasing and references. Viewing 1 post of 1 total author posts 26th may 2019 at 7. Static refers to risk factors that cannot decrease such as criminal history. Maaike helmus is an adjunct research professor at carleton university and a consultant with the forensic assessment group. For more information about static99r, static2002r, and risk matrix 2000, see appendix b, static risk assessment t ools descriptions. The static99 is a ten item actuarial assessment instrument created by r. Combining static99r and stable2007 risk categories.
However, that does not mean that those factors should not be considered in an overall assessment of risk. This article describes principles for developing risk category labels for criterion referenced prediction measures, and demonstrates their utility by creating new risk categories for the static99r and static2002r sexual offender risk assessment tools. The reasons for the reduced accuracy of static 2002r among canadian aboriginal is difficult to explain, but does suggest that race could be a relevant factor in sexual offender risk assessment. The static 99 is a ten item actuarial assessment instrument created by r. About us violence risk appraisal guiderevised official.
The static 99 is not intended to be a comprehensive risk assessment instrument, and as such, some factors related to risk are not included because they failed to predict recidivism in this particular model. Most psychological tests are designed to assess latent constructs and their results have practical importance to the extent that the latent constructs are related to outcomes of interest. The status quo in risk assessment has been for scale developers to translate total scores into risk levels in ways. The rrasor, static 99r and static2002r all add incrementally to the prediction of recidivism among sex offenders. The static99 and the static2002 are actuarial instruments that predict sex offender recidivism. There is currently no content classified with this term. Risk assessment of individuals convicted of sexual offenses helps estimate the future risk of the offender to the community and provides a baseline for potential treatment needs. Soraf is a webbased assessment management system designed for largescale deployment of sex offender risk assessment instruments, namely static99, stable2007, and acute2007, across multiple jurisdictions, with central administration, multilevel control and reporting.
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